One and Done Picks, Honda Classic

oad picks logo

This year we will be tracking each of our writers’ performances in our 95 person One And Done (OAD) pool. For those of you who do not know what a OAD pool is, it is a season long contest in which you select one golfer per week with the golfer’s earned money that week adding to your season total. Once you select a golfer, you cannot use him the rest of the year (so, no, you cannot pick DJ or Tiger every week).

WGC Mexico Results

Jake Mulholland: Dustin Johnson, 1st-1.745M
Tony Kasper: Sergio Garcia, T6-262K
Bear: Sergio Garcia, T6-262K
Sean Carney
: Tiger Woods, T10-162K
Frank Laterza: Xander Schauffele, T14-128K
Jack Corrigan: Bubba Watson, T27-85K
Sam Scherman: Webb Simpson, T39-71K
Kevin Walsh: Jon Rahm, T45-65K
Mike McNamara: Alex Noren, T62-51K

-Jake takes back first place riding DJ to a HUGE win.

-Man, Sergio Garcia really left money out there to be had. Top 3 all week it felt like and then falls to a T6. The putter really did him in.

-Tiger, Xander, and Bubba all had 66’s on their card, but weren’t good enough the rest of the week to make series coin.

Season Standings through Week 8:

OAD Week 8

The rich get richer as Jake doubles up via DJ.

Place Points Wins Top 5 Top 10
Jake 3rd (↑15) 3488548 2 2 3
Kevin 26th (↓12) 1962188 1 2 2
Jack 40th (↓12) 1544587 0 2 2
Tony 41st (↓4) 1535628 0 2 4
Frank 56th (↓9) 1177994 0 2 3
Mike 62nd (↓7) 1031792 0 2 2
Bear 74th (↑5) 846460 0 0 3
Sean 77th (↓2) 785177 0 1 3
Sam 88th (↓3) 560973 0 0 1

Honda Classic Picks

Jake Mulholland: Gary Woodland — I’ve been sitting on this guy for quite some time. Pulling out all the stats this week: 3rd in Par 4 performance, 4th in GIR, 1st in ball striking, 2nd in Par 5 performance, 12th in Par 4 scoring average, 7th in SG:TTG, and has a T2 at PGA National in 2017. Last but not least he ranks 23rd in Strokes Gained Putting (Bermuda) since 2014 so despite his putting form (rank 106 SG:P) he should be able to find some confidence on the familiar greens. Look for the Miami resident to kick off the Florida Swing in style and close out his first win of 2019.

Kevin WalshBilly Horschel —Stats wise, Billy Ho has not been up to his standards this season. Take a look at his overall numbers and that’s easy to see. However, that isn’t turning me away this week. He’s always been a cat that runs hot and cold, and can win seemingly out of nowhere. Another thing we know about Billy, is that he loves the toughest of challenges. He has top 10’s in 2 of his previous 3 Honda Classics, and when taking a look at how this course has played in the past few years, you want a grinder. Getting paired with Fowler and Thomas will only spark that fire in Billy. If you have the nerves to take a risk this week, Horschel could be your guy. *Gator Chomp*

Jack CorriganAlex Noren — A lot of this decision is in my gut. Alexander The Great is a world-class golfer with elite abilities, yet he has been extremely cold this season. With a 3rd place finish here last year, I believe he will find his groove in Florida. He is too good of a golfer to continue playing this poorly. For a tournament with a small pot and with many golfers having a lack of success here, I believe a top 15 or better is what you want here and that is what Alex can provide.

Tony KasperBilly Horschel — This was my most difficult week to pick thus far.  I’ve used many of the favorites already this season, and I want to save most of the other big name guys for an event with a higher purse.  I considered Adam Scott, but he will be chalky so I am going with Horschel.  He’s made the cut at all six of his last six tournaments and has four top 25 finishes.  His history here outside of last season’s missed cut is also promising, with a 4th and 8th place finish in 2017 and 2016, respectively.  I’m hoping the former Gator can return to his old form this weekend in his hometown state.

Frank Laterza: Emiliano Grillo — Another week I look at a top dawg – Brooks Koepka – and pass. Seeing that the last 2 winners have been big names in Rickie and JT, Brooks could shine here, but again saving him for bigger. Pivot to Emiliano..? Sure. You need to be accurate off the tee here while being long at the same time. Ranking 47th and 46th respectively, he’s one of the few who check both boxes above average here at the Honda. He’s also 5th in approach on tour, which is tremendous. So why isn’t he winning? Well you and I putt better than him. But Luke List, another poor putter, took JT to a playoff. Hopefully this year, Emiliano can copy that formula.

(Side Note: We had Emiliano on our podcast a couple weeks ago. Really awesome guy. Check it out. The interview starts about 10 minutes in.)

Mike McNamaraMatt Wallace — Extremely disappointing result last week in Mexico with Alex Noren struggling throughout. Where do we go from here? To another European, making his first career non- Major/WGC start on the PGA Tour. Matt Wallace has quietly moved into the top 40 of the OWGR by stockpiling an impressive number of early wins on the European Tour. PGA National should be a place where his consistent ball-striking should thrive, and he will not need to hit that many drivers. In a small purse event like this, 3rd or better is really the only way to make significant headway, and I believe Matty Ice is primed to finish in one of those top 3 spots.

BearDaniel Berger — Really struggled making this pick. Do you go with a top tier guy with almost certainty he’ll be in the mix? Or throw a dart at the middle tier of guys and hope for the best? I decided to throw that dart, and it landed on The Dan Berger. He opened 2019 with a T12 at the Desert Classic and had a T2 last week in the Puerto Rico Open (I am choosing to ignore the 2 MC’s in between). Lost here in a playoff in 2015, so he’s got the gusto to win this event. His favorite quote is “Winning means you’re willing to go longer, work harder and give more than anyone else.” Well dangnabbit go be a winner this week Daniel!

Sean CarneySergio Garica — Tropical storm El Niño is coming to the Honda Classic this weekend! We are riding Sergio Garcia this week. Garcia has had some success with two Top 10s in his last 5 tries. With a weaker field, I’m okay with riding someone who will be a bit higher owned than I am normally comfortable with. Hoping talent and familiarity prevail this weekend.

Sam SchermanSungjae Im — Throwing the OAD pool a bit of a wildcard this week, but based on my picks thus far this season, something had to change. This is a smaller purse than the next several weeks so I didn’t want to burn a top stud like Rickie/JT/Sergio/Scott, therefore I’ve decided to roll out a Web.com stud who had a hot start to the season and is coming into Florida after a week break in which he had previously played 6 straight weeks. Im ranks highly in all my statistical categories and although missing his last 2 cuts (I presume somewhat related to fatigue), his previous 4 starts he had 3/4 Top 16s which included a 7th. He has all the skills to compete and is someone I wrote up as a young gun to watch for in 2019, so I think he really kick starts his rookie campaign at PGA National.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s